It's such a close matchup and relatively low juice to take the Eagles on the money line. I am not messing around with this tight spread. I want to like Mahomes and the Chiefs because it's so rare to get him as an underdog, but in this case I believe it is warranted.ĭolan: Eagles money line (-125). The third tiebreaker is that the extra week off before the Super Bowl enhances the things that make Andy Reid a great coach - game-planning and player preparation - rather than the things that make Nick Sirianni a strong coach, such as his in-game decisions.įulghum: If I absolutely must pick a side, I would play the Eagles -1.5. Betting against Patrick Mahomes is never comfortable, but the Eagles' dominance on both sides of the ball, the consistent positive expected value decision-making from HC Nick Sirianni, and the injury issues for the Chiefs all point me to Philadelphia. I doubt the game comes down to a single point, but I'd rather have that point than not. The second tiebreaker is getting a point and a half. The Chiefs have the best quarterback in the game. It's simply about trusting that offense is more consistent and predictable than defense, and quarterback play is the most important part of that. But if forced to pick a side, I would go with the Chiefs. This matchup is so, so close, and I would prefer to play props and the total instead of picking a side in a game that's basically 50-50. Offensively, the Eagles aren't as strong as the Chiefs, but I'm confident in Philadelphia's ability to run the ball efficiently on Kansas City and pull out a win by three or four points. I can't stress that last part enough: No team made it tougher on opponents to get open than the Eagles, according to our receiver tracking metrics, and that's crucial against a Patrick Mahomes-led offense. Defensively, their pass rush is an unrelenting force and they have the best cornerback pairing in the league. Ultimately, I can't get past this: The Eagles' roster is just better. I've felt pretty great about picking the Eagles in both their games this postseason. Caesars Sportsbook opened this matchup as a Pick 'em, but the Eagles are now a consensus 1.5-point favorite. ET, State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona Super Bowl LVII is here. Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5, 50)įeb. The Eagles came away victorious in their previous Super Bowl, defeating the New England Patriots in 2018.īetting analysts Doug Kezirian, Tyler Fulghum, Joe Fortenbaugh, Anita Marks and Erin Dolan, fantasy and sports betting analyst Eric Moody, ESPN Analytics' Seth Walder and Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz will provide their top plays on the game, props and more. The Eagles and Chiefs have both appeared in Super Bowls within the past five years, with Kansas City last making the big game in 2021. The biggest sports betting event of the year is finally upon us as the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs face off in Super Bowl LVII at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, on Sunday. Super Bowl LVII Betting Guide: Tips, odds, picks and props You have reached a degraded version of because you're using an unsupported version of Internet Explorer.įor a complete experience, please upgrade or use a supported browser
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